Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2017. xi, 276 pp. ISBN 9780700625024.
This book deals with the effort of the U.S. government to present a very optimistic picture of progress in the Vietnam War during 1967, the way this left the United States unprepared for the magnitude of the Communists' Tet Offensive in 1968, and the way these events have been remembered and interpreted (often very inaccurately) up to the present.
Abbreviations Used in the Text (ix)
Introduction: The Problem (1)
Chapter 1. Escalating the Vietnam War, 1964–1967 (9)
Chapter 2. The Order of Battle (19)
The Self-Defense Militia (22)
Evolution of the OB Summary (25)
Sam Adams (33)
Spring 1967 at MACV (37)
Two Kinds of Intelligence Officers (46)
Choosing the Metrics: The Gain and Loss Methodology (48)
A Stalemated War? (53)
Chapter 3. The Special National Intelligence Estimate (58)
Negotiating the SNIE (59)
The SNIE: Final Version (66)
The Role of the Pentagon (72)
Arguments in Defense of the MACV Estimates (73)
Publicizing the SNIE (88)
Distracting the Media (90)
Chapter 4. The Optimism Campaign (94)
The Short-Term Focus in Public Relations (103)
What Did Westmoreland Believe? (104)
Two kinds of Journalists (106)
Chapter 5. Preparing for the Offensive (109)
Le Duan's Optimism (111)
Expanding Communist Forces (115)
The OB and the Size of the Tet Attack Force (124)
The Warning (129)
Chapter 6. The Tet Offensive, 1968 (134)
The Rand Interviews (140)
Continuing the Offensive (144)
The Shock in Washington (152)
Chapter 7. The Myths of Tet (156)
Communist Losses (158)
American Losses (164)
The Order of Battle after Tet (166)
Exaggerating the Changes in US Strategy (169)
The Effects of Tet on Pacification (171)
MACV's Optimism Continues (174)
Reconciling the Figures (175)
Chapter 8. The Mythical Myth: Supposed Media Portrayals of Tet (178)
The Cronkite Broadcast (182)
The Attack on the US Embassy (185)
The Giap Variant (187)
Chapter 9. The War Continues (190)
The Wheeler Mission (197)
Chapter 10. Aftermath, Lessons, and Questions (207)
Estimates Going Forward (207)
Tet in Retrospect (209)
Abbreviations Used in the Notes (213)
Map 1.1: South Vietnam: Corps Tactical Zones (8)
Map 6.1: The Tet Offensive: Premature and Delayed Attacks (136)
Map 6.2: The Attack on Saigon: Key Locations (138)
Figure 2.1. Combat Forces, May 1966 to September 1968, Current and Retroactive Figures (31)
Figure 2.2. Administrative Services, May 1966 to September 1968, Current and Retroactive Figures (31)
Figure 2.3. Guerrilla Strength, May 1966 to September 1968, Current and Retroactive Figures (32)
Figure 4.1. Americans killed by hostile action, by month, 1966-1967 (101)
Figure 5.1. Military Forces, May 1966 to September 1968, Current and Retroactive Figures (116)
Figure 6.1. Americans killed by hostile action, weeks ending on specified dates (146)
Figure 6.2. Americans killed by hostile action, by month, 1967-1969 (150)
Figure 6.3. RVN personnel killed by hostile action, by month, 1967-1969 (151)
Table 2.1: MACV Figures for Communist Strength, Old Categories, January 1966 to September 1967 (27)
Table 3.1: Strength figures in Office of National Estimates draft NIE, June 14, 1967 (60)
Table 3.2: Order of Battle presented by Gains Hawkins to the SNIE Conference, August 9, 1967 (63)
Table 3.3: MACV OB Summaries, May 31 and September 30, 1967 (71)
Table 5.1: Current and Retroactive MACV Estimates for PAVN Regular Combat Strength (117)
Table 7.1: Communist strength in January 1968: Contemporary and Retroactive MACV Figures (177)
Table 8.1: Gallup Polls on How the War Would End (185)
My book discusses a variety of myths that are widespread in the literature of the Vietnam War. But which of them are still being actively circulated? I thought it would be worth noting which of them have appeared in works that have come out since I finished writing my book.
The one that has been most conspicuous is that the United States reacted to the Tet Offensive by abandoning its effort to win the war.
"It would require twenty-four days of terrible fighting to take the city back. The Battle of Hue would be the bloodiest of the Vietnam War, and a turning point not just in that conflict, but in American history. When it was over, debate concerning the war in the United States was never again about winning, only about how to leave." Mark Bowden, Hue 1968: A Turning Point of the American War in Vietnam (New York: Atlantic Monthly Press, 2017), unnumbered page just before p. 1.
"The Viet Cong were depleted as a fighting force. But from tactical defeat came strategic victory. America's will had been broken." John A Farrell, Richard Nixon: The Life (New York: Doubleday, 2017), p. 320.
Philip Brady, who had been working for USAID in Vietnam at the time of the Tet Offensive, said that Tet "broke the will of the United States to fight that war" in the Ken Burns/Lynn Novice documentary "The Vietnam War," episode 6, "Things Fall Apart (January-July 1968)."
Doug Stanton, The Odyssey of Echo company (New York: Scribner, 2017), exaggerates the coordination of the offensive, making the attacks look more nearly simultaneous than they were:
"On a single night, January 31, 1968, as many as 100,000 soldiers in the North vietnamese Army attack thirty-six cities throughout South vietnam" (front
flap of dust jacket).
"In those first predawn hours of the Tet Offensive, about 100,000 North Vietnamese regular army soldiers attacked thirty-six cities throughout South Vietnam" (p.87).
There has also been one example of the myth that the American media over-reacted to the Tet Offensive, treating it as a much worse disaster than it actually was.
"Tet was decisively lost in the living-rooms of America: television-news icon Walter Cronkite declared the war lost." Harland K. Ullman, Anatomy of Failure: Why American Loses Every War It Starts (Annapolis: Naval Institute Press, 2017), p. 51.
c.v. for Edwin E. Moïse
Bibliography of the Vietnam War
Revised November 26, 2017.